Tuesday, 2 August 2022

The Draft as Fantasy Football Intended : Round 4

Round four. Crunch time. Those looking to build their foundations have two options here, diversify or specialise. Some teams will be looking at tactics, others are thinking about finishing off a core of players. All I know is that some drafting will be taking place, just how ESPN inteded players to be drafted.


Pick 49: The Aberdeen Oilers Select Darnell Mooney, Wide Receiver, Chicago


Points Last Year: 219.7 Points
Average Per Game: 12.9 Points
Last Year Rank Position: 23rd
Last Year Rank NFL: 57th

Darnell Mooney was the only truly viable wide receiver option out of Chicago and it may look like more of the same this season. A little turbulent due to having Justin Fields at quarterback, Mooney adapted well and put together a solid campaign, not missing a single game. 12.9 points does seem like utility numbers more than out and out star power but there is a chance with another year, Mooney does indeed take off to the moon. It's a solid pick for Aberdeen.

Pick 50: The Dublin Brewers Select Kyle Pitts, Tight End, Atlanta


Points Last Year: 176.6 Points
Average Per Game: 10.4 Points
Last Year Rank Position: 6th
Last Year Rank NFL: 89th

Kyle Pitts is a once in a generation talent who set a record for most yards in his rookie season. What makes Kyle Pitts even more interesting is that with Marcus Mariota at quarterback this year, if they want any success, most plays must go through him. With a year to get accustomed to the NFL, Dublin have a player that might just become the next Tony Gonzalez. What really neutered Pitts last season was just the singular touchdown all year, but with a scheme based around him, he could be easily 50 points better this year.

Pick 51: The Cardiff Dragons Select Travis Etienne Jr., Running Back, Jacksonville


Points Last Year: 0.0 Points
Average Per Game: 0.0 Points
Last Year Rank Position: N/A
Last Year Rank NFL: N/A

Imagine being a first round running back, missing your entire rookie season to injury and just so happen to dodge Urban Meyer as your coach. A lucky escape but an interesting choice with Travis expected to be taking a bulk of the carries, especially with James Robinson trying to battle to full fitness after tearing his achilles. At least early on he should be a good option for Cardiff, having put up 6100 yards and 78 touchdowns during his college career at Clemson. With the running backs left on the board, this is a decent selection.

Pick 52: The Bristol Buccaneers Select Chris Godwin, Wide Receiver, Tampa Bay


Points Last Year: 242.4 Points
Average Per Game: 17.3 Points
Last Year Rank Position: 15th
Last Year Rank NFL: 39th

Were it not for missing the last three weeks through injury, Chris Godwin would have been on for almost if not 300 points. Thriving on a system where weapons were everywhere, Godwin's share will undoubtedly rise with the dramatic exit of Antonio Brown and the retirement of Rob Gronkowski. At his best last season, he was good for 140 yards a game and anywhere from 8 to 15 targets. Bristol take a Buccaneer and a rather good one at that, who could be an impressive third wide receiver for their team.

Pick 53: The Newport Coal Miners Select Jerry Jeudy, Wide Receiver, Denver


Points Last Year: 85.0 Points
Average Per Game: 8.5 Points
Last Year Rank Position: 85th
Last Year Rank NFL: 204th

While Jerry Jeudy has been struggling to score points over his first two seasons, there is a huge upside to him this season over any others: Russell Wilson. A much better quarterback situation should open up way more opportunities to score points, especially after a campaign which saw 7 missed games and a game without scoring a point. The WR1 scenario at Denver will be fascinating to see and if anything, Newport choosing Jeudy here does represent risk, one which won't be taken again should this fail.

Pick 54: The Glasgow Pipers Select Courtland Sutton, Wide Receiver, Denver


Points Last Year: 150.24 Points
Average Per Game: 8.8 Points
Last Year Rank Position: 44th
Last Year Rank NFL: 116th

Back to back Denver wide receivers come flying off the board and neither of them were the highest scoring last season. Courtland Sutton had an incredibly barren spell where he went 10 games without scoring double digit points to close the season. Still, when he was on form, he could be a yards machine which if unguarded, could be unstoppable. There's a lot of upside for Glasgow, especially with Wilson at quarterback. If Courtland Sutton can get free, then he's a surefire unit to throw to.

Pick 55: The Belfast Giants Select Justin Herbert, Quarterback, Los Angeles Chargers


Points Last Year: 380.76 Points
Average Per Game: 22.4 Points
Last Year Rank Position: 2nd
Last Year Rank NFL: 3rd

Belfast have taken the top 2 quarterbacks from last year and that is frightening. In a system that is hyper aggressive, Herbert broke 5000 yards passing, 300 yards rushing and 41 total touchdowns. Even better is how mobile Justin Herbert is, effectively being the next Josh Allen, the sky is the limit for him in terms of production. With Keenan Allen and Mike Williams on the wings, Austin Ekeler in the back and a coach that often goes for two, this is taking the best available off the board and I'm all for it.

Pick 56: The Birmingham Bulls Select Amari Cooper, Wide Receiver, Cleveland


Points Last Year: 202.5 Points
Average Per Game: 13.5 Points
Last Year Rank Position: 27th
Last Year Rank NFL: 69th

Moving from the glamour of Jerry's World over to the harsh reality of Cleveland, Amari Cooper was a steal for them but needs to be a number one outlet for a run first side. The challenge to score points will be tough early on with Deshaun Watson suspended for 6 games but after that, he should be a regular target as he settles into life at Cleveland. Amari Cooper is a decent WR3 for Birmingham who will need to soon think about other positions with the starting core wrapped up early at wide receiver.

Pick 57: The Swansea Smelters Select Tyler Lockett, Wide Receiver, Seattle


Points Last Year: 241.4 Points
Average Per Game: 15.1 Points
Last Year Rank Position: 16th
Last Year Rank NFL: 40th

The other side of the league's biggest share in terms of 1-2 punches, Tyler Lockett will have to respond just like DK Metcalf and showcase his talents without an elite quarterback like Russell Wilson. Normally it is one or the other who finds the big score and there were plenty of occasions last year where that scoring was evident. Bookending last season with multiple touchdowns, Swansea have a decent selection and probably one of the biggest names remaining on the board.

Pick 58: The Nottingham Sheriffs Select Gabriel Davis, Wide Receiver, Buffalo


Points Last Year: 125.9 Points
Average Per Game: 8.4 Points
Last Year Rank Position: 58th
Last Year Rank NFL: 146th

This may be the pick of the entire draft. Gabriel Davis broke out majorly during the playoffs for Buffalo and most of the points fell away last year due to Cole Beasley and Emmanuel Sanders. With both of them now free agents, the door is open for Davis to be WR2 and be a scintillating option for them. There is a realm where Gabriel Davis could comfortably be a top 20 wide receiver and score big early on. The one thing that could slow him down though is defences understanding how he gets free and covering him off as a target.

Pick 59: The Cork City Rebels Select Elijah Mitchell, Running Back, San Francisco


Points Last Year: 165.0 Points
Average Per Game: 15.0 Points
Last Year Rank Position: 26th
Last Year Rank NFL: 97th

One of the standout rookies of last year, two spates of injuries derailed what could have been a brilliant opening campaign. Mitchell will be given carries in the back, having averaged over 23 carries in his final 5 appearances last season, putting at least 65 yards rushing. He can also catch out of the back, not often but enough to be a versitile option for the Cork City Rebels. It's a clever pick that gets disguised by the genius of Deebo Samuel and should be good, touch wood for 200 points this year.

Pick 60: The Dundee Spinners Select Miles Sanders, Running Back, Philadelphia


Points Last Year: 117.2 Points
Average Per Game: 9.8 Points
Last Year Rank Position: 45th
Last Year Rank NFL: 159th

Dundee's first running back is a questionable one with Philadelphia's philosophy being one by committee. With Kenneth Gainwell, Boston Scott and Jalen Hurts from quarterback all taking turns rushing, how many carries and yards will be a huge concern. With only 4 games last year over double digits, Dundee are going to have to hope that some rushers go down to make life easier on Miles and his running game. It does feel like a larger reach though to grab him at 60. At 100, he's very decent.

Pick 61: The London Steelers Select Cordarrelle Patterson, Running Back, Atlanta


Points Last Year: 234.6 Points
Average Per Game: 14.7 Points
Last Year Rank Position: 9th
Last Year Rank NFL: 45th

Nobody was able to figure out Cordarrelle Patterson last season as his twilight renaissance proved massive for fantasy scores. Only rushing for 618 yards last season, the wide receiver turned running back also put up nearly 550 catching yards and became a dual threat menace and the main outlet last season. There are doubts about if this can be repeated for a second straight year, especially without Matt Ryan at quarterback. If in doubt, there is always more room to rush a little more. Solid for the London Steelers.

Pick 62: The Barry Islanders Select Devin Singletary, Running Back, Buffalo


Points Last Year: 197.8 Points
Average Per Game: 11.6 Points
Last Year Rank Position: 18th
Last Year Rank NFL: 73rd

The running backs going off the board are all having the same thing in common and that is their quarterbacks do love a good rush. With Josh Allen up top, Devin Singletary has to pick and choose his moments and did solidly last season, just falling short of 200 points, putting up over 850 rushing yards. A late season flourish too of points scoring did help bolster a lot and with a lot of last season being lost to the throwing game, a weaker throwing core should help Devin two-fold.

Pick 63: The Galway Tribesmen Select Darren Waller, Tight End, Las Vegas


Points Last Year: 133.5 Points
Average Per Game: 12.1 Points
Last Year Rank Position: 17th
Last Year Rank NFL: 134th

Missing 6 games last season, the dude who is intense as hell started off with a huge boon of points last season but slowly faded away in terms of production. Waller on his day can be game changing for the Galway Tribesmen, however there is a big concern that day is going to be fewer and further between with Davante Adams now a part of the attack. It may however be a small blessing with Las Vegas' attack potentially switching to be less Tight End intensive, leaving Waller more open on some plays. I like the pick, maybe a small reach but not much.

Pick 64: The Edinburgh Knights Select George Kittle, Tight End, San Francisco


Points Last Year: 198.0 Points
Average Per Game: 14.1 Points
Last Year Rank Position: 4th
Last Year Rank NFL: 72nd

The people's tight end wraps up the fourth round and is expected to bounce back after a tough year. The glimpse of greatness was on show weeks 13 and 14 when he made a combined 73.7 points over that period. Three missed games and a tough end to the season which only saw a maximum of 6 points per game, Kittle will be pleased with the work Trey Lance has been doing, figuring yards will be a little easier to find. Class is permanent so this is always a good pick for the Edinburgh Knights.

Four rounds down and the main four positions are starting to get more evenly spread out. Let's have a look at the stats and see the breakdown of picks.

Round 4 By Position:
Wide Receiver: 7
Running Back: 5
Tight End: 3
Quarterback: 1

Round 4 By NFL Team:
Atlanta: 2
Denver: 2
Buffalo: 2
San Francisco: 2
Chicago: 1
Jacksonville: 1
Tampa Bay: 1
Los Angeles Chargers: 1
Cleveland: 1
Seattle: 1
Philadelphia: 1
Las Vegas: 1

Overall By Position:
Wide Receiver: 29
Running Back: 27
Tight End: 5
Quarterback: 3

Overall By NFL Team:
Buffalo: 4
Los Angeles Chargers: 4
Cincinnati: 3
Denver: 3
San Francisco: 3
Tampa Bay: 3
Las Vegas: 3
Minnesota: 2
Los Angeles Rams: 2
Miami: 2
Carolina: 2
Indianapolis: 2
Pittsburgh: 2
Detroit: 2
Dallas: 2
Arizona: 2
Baltimore: 2
Kansas City: 2
Washington: 2
Atlanta: 2
Chicago: 2
Cleveland: 2
Seattle: 2
Philadelphia: 2
Tennessee: 1
New Orleans: 1
Green Bay: 1
New York Giants: 1
New York Jets: 1
Houston: 1
Jacksonville: 1
New England: 0

You can read continued coverage of The Draft as Fantasy Football Inteded via this blog with a new update getting posted roughly every 2 days. Artwork was illustrated by 
Althea Charlie, will a patriot finally get taken in round 5?

Sunday, 31 July 2022

The Draft as Fantasy Football Intended: Round 3

Half of the picks so far have been running backs, the other half predominantly wide receivers. A small sample of tight ends have gone but the third round of 17 approaches, will any teams look to make a gamble or will there be more consolidation of the major positions later on in the draft?

Pick 33: The Edinburgh Knights Select Ezekiel Elliott, Running Back, Dallas



Points Last Year: 252.06 Points
Average Per Game: 14.8 Points
Last Year Rank Position: 7th
Last Year Rank NFL: 34th

Edinburgh take a second running back with a small risk with Ezekiel Elliott. The trend has continued for the Dallas running back, having socred less and less fantasy points season on season and there will be concerns with a weaker offensive line and the emergence last season of Tony Pollard. There is still magic though from the one player that needs feeding and there is still that hope with a poor division, he can still deliver strong numbers. The issue though facing someone like him will be no 20+ point games after week 10.

Pick 34: The Galway Tribesmen Select Nick Chubb, Running Back, Cleveland




Points Last Year: 215.3 Points
Average Per Game: 15.4 Points
Last Year Rank Position: 13th
Last Year Rank NFL: 60th

Cleveland have the best running back group in the league with the trio of Nick Chubb, Kareem Hunt and D'Ernest Johnson but the drawback from having such a good group is percentage of ball. Last season Nick Chubb only was able to carry 55% of the team's runs and that showed in numbers that felt very reliant at times on needing a touchdown to reach the next level. He has all the ability to break out and be a top ten, if not top five running back, as a third rounder for Galway, this is a good choice.

Pick 35: The Barry Islanders Select J.K. Dobbins, Running Back, Baltimore




Points Last Year: 0.0 Points
Average Per Game: 0.0 Points
Last Year Rank Position: N/A
Last Year Rank NFL: N/A

The Barry Islanders once again are hoping their running back contingency remains injury free, selecting a J.K. Dobbins who missed the whole of last season due to a nasty ACL tear. Dobbins' rookie season in 2020 was strong though, leading the league in yards per carry but with the caveat that Lamar Jackson and his style of quarterbacking strongly enters J.K territory. The run game began to stutter later into the 2021 season and the return should help allay those fears, and score some decent points.

Pick 36: The London Steelers Select Josh Jacobs, Running Back, Las Vegas




Points Last Year: 226.0 Points
Average Per Game: 15.1 Points
Last Year Rank Position: 12th
Last Year Rank NFL: 53rd

Josh Jacobs was truly a dependable running back option last season, despite the two missed games early on, he only had one performance all season below 10 points. Granted, he didn't have a single performance over 25 either, but a high ceiling, low floor isn't a bad thing to have in a running back, let alone a RB2 for the London Steelers. The only concern will be around rushing touches this season, with the looming threat of three elite catchers turning the Raiders into a pass first offence.

Pick 37: The Dundee Spinners Select Michael Pittman Jr., Wide Receiver, Indianapolis



Points Last Year: 238.6 Points
Average Per Game: 14.0 Points
Last Year Rank Position: 17th
Last Year Rank NFL: 42nd

Moving into the number one role at Indianapolis, Dundee get a very servicable wide receiver good for around 6 catches a game. While there are concerns that the scheme last year prevented Pittman from reaching the end zone, there's more than enough to love on a solid set of hands. Most notable of these will be the new quarterback in Matt Ryan jumping into the team which should help open out opportunities. Concerning though for Dundee is that their first 3 picks have all been wide receivers.

Pick 38: The Cork City Rebels Select Terry McLaurin, Wide Receiver, Washington




Points Last Year: 213.5 Points
Average Per Game: 12.6 Points
Last Year Rank Position: 25th
Last Year Rank NFL: 61st

Reliant on his performances last year, the same will ring true for the new Commanders along with the Cork City Rebels. Unchained, Terry McLaurin is more than capable of finding a 30+ point game but when boxed out by the opponents, there was a 5 game stretch where double digits couldn't be breached. It might be different with Carson Wentz now at quarterback, giving a more rounded view to getting open and available and on top of that, only 4 career drops. He just needs to get open to be a coup for the Rebels.

Pick 39: The Nottingham Sheriffs Select Diontae Johnson, Wide Receiver, Pittsburgh



Points Last Year: 274.4 Points
Average Per Game: 17.2 Points
Last Year Rank Position: 8th
Last Year Rank NFL: 24th

Nottingham and steals are going hand in hand. Diontae Johnson was the second most targeted wide receiver last season and created a season in which his worst scoring week was just 9.8 points. The fear is that with a new quarterback in either Kenny Pickett or Mitchell Trubisky that the targets will drop in favour of a more run-heavy push on Najee Harris but those worries should be unfounded with Johnson finding paydirt roughly once every two games. Watch out for Nottingham this season.

Pick 40: The Swansea Smelters Select Breece Hall, Running Back, New York Jets




Points Last Year: 0.0 Points
Average Per Game: 0.0 Points
Last Year Rank Position: N/A
Last Year Rank NFL: N/A

The first rookie comes off the board at 40 with Swansea taking a look at the former Iowa State rusher in Breece Hall. A second round pick by the Jets, there is a lot of promise in a back system with Michael Carter already there and should be a great upgrade in that regard. There is some scary promise too with him after he set a NCAA record 24 game streak of rushing in a touchdown. He can catch too after his time in college so the question with all rookies, how much time, how much responsibility?

Pick 41: The Birmingham Bulls Select Antonio Gibson, Running Back, Washington



Points Last Year: 229.1 Points
Average Per Game: 14.3 Points
Last Year Rank Position: 10th
Last Year Rank NFL: 48th

Antonio Gibson got plenty of time last season thanks in part to having Taylor Heinicke as his quarterback to take a number of carries into the 2021 season, namely averaging 16 per game. The premier rusher for the Commanders, Birmingham have got a shrewd bit of business done and will be looking at trying to build around this position. Two scary points though: There is a groin injury that is a little shaky and also that Washington drafted a third running back, so goal line rushes might be troublesome to come by.

Pick 42: The Belfast Giants Select Josh Allen, Quarterback, Buffalo



Points Last Year: 402.58 Points
Average Per Game: 23.7 Points
Last Year Rank Position: 1st
Last Year Rank NFL: 2nd

The first quarterback and for the last couple of years, the go-to when it comes to fantasy football. Josh Allen is the perfect blend of run and pass, putting up 42 combined touchdowns along with over 750 yards rushing last season. With capable weaponry such as Stefon Diggs and Gabriel Davis, it should be more of the same next season for a player whose only two bad games came from being out of sorts against Jacksonville and playing in a hurricane against New England. Belfast are sorted all season with this pick.

Pick 43: The Glasgow Pipers Select Mike Williams, Wide Receiver, Los Angeles Chargers



Points Last Year: 246.6 Points
Average Per Game: 15.4 Points
Last Year Rank Position: 12th
Last Year Rank NFL: 35th

Mike Williams started off 2021 hotter than an Australian summer, scoring over 20 points in 4 of his first 5 games. The hot and cold though would be intermittent from that point onwards, with Keenan Allen preferred as the number one target. Still decent though with the numbers in a very aggressive system for yardage, there should be plenty of deep options available for Mike WIlliams to sink his teeth into. Glasgow get a glass cannon which, if it goes off, could pay off massively in the long run.

Pick 44: The Newport Coal Miners Select DK Metcalf, Wide Receiver, Seattle



Points Last Year: 244.3 Points
Average Per Game: 14.4 Points
Last Year Rank Position: 14th
Last Year Rank NFL: 37th

DK Metcalf is a great wide receiver and his pick at 44 doesn't do the talent justice but when there is huge uncertainty at quarterback with Drew Lock currently locked in, you can only watch with concern for the numbers on how efficient he could be. Effeciency dropped last season when Russell Wilson went out with injury and Geno Smith took his place, seeing a top ten talent fall to 13th overall. It could be a lot further but this is where DK needs to prove he is more than just enhanced by the quarterback.

Pick 45: The Bristol Buccaneers Select Brandin Cooks, Wide Receiver, Houston



Points Last Year: 231.8 Points
Average Per Game: 14.5 Points
Last Year Rank Position: 20th
Last Year Rank NFL: 47th

Brandin Cooks does not get enough credit for what he does in a fantasy setting, putting the quiet points together without the large volumes of touchdowns. The main focus of the Houston Texans, the Bristol Buccaneers have a sneaky option where the points should find their way into the bank without too much trouble. The one thing holding Brandin Cooks back however like the pick before is the quarterback situation. It's safe to say Davis Mills is not the greatest option, especially with eyes on a stacked class in next year's draft. A year to hold on for Cooks.

Pick 46: The Cardiff Dragons Select Marquise "Hollywood" Brown, Wide Receiver, Arizona



Points Last Year: 226.3 Points
Average Per Game: 14.1 Points
Last Year Rank Position: 22nd
Last Year Rank NFL: 52nd

With De'Andre Hopkins getting suspended for 6 games on a PED violation, the man they call Hollywood has to create some movie magic early to justify Cardiff's selection. A couple of nagging injuries weren't enough to derail a campaign where for Baltimore, he was a key target along with Mark Andrews and proved invaluable to the Ravens' attack. Maybe slightly more pass happy, the move is a like for like, but a hamstring has been a bit concerning to see in terms of an injury. Cardiff will hope he is clear before week one.

Pick 47: The Dublin Brewers Select Amon-Ra St. Brown, Wide Receiver, Detroit



Points Last Year: 227.3 Points
Average Per Game: 14.2 Points
Last Year Rank Position: 21st
Last Year Rank NFL: 51st

Early on for Amon-Ra, there wasn't much to cheer about, scoring just over 10 points for the first three games. In Detroit's last 6 games, he failed to score less than 15 points and only once dropped under 23 points. He is the defacto number one passing option for Jared Goff and while the scores weren't making much happen for the Lions, if the same form can be found for a full season, Amon-Ra could be the money pick in 2022 for Dublin. Watch this space this season.

Pick 48: The Aberdeen Oilers Select Patrick Mahomes, Quarterback, Kansas City



Points Last Year: 361.66 Points
Average Per Game: 21.3 Points
Last Year Rank Position: 4th
Last Year Rank NFL: 6th

Patrick Mahomes slowed a little last season but still remained one of the elite quarterbacks in fantasy with his backyard style of playing the game. Most teams found a way to counter the long option that made him so dangerous over the years and so Mahomes has worked out how to still pick the yards up. Travis Kelce will be the main target in play but it's a free for all at wide receiver. It is believed JuJu Smith-Schuster may be the best option there but with Mecole Hardman, Marquez Valdes-Scantling and rookie Skyy Moore, who will fill Tyreek Hill's Shoes?

Round three completed, and with many important positions starting to showcase releases, how do the statistics lie in regards to the rounds?

Round 3 By Position:
Wide Receiver: 8
Running Back: 6
Quarterback: 2

Round 3 By NFL Team:
Washington: 2
Dallas: 1
Cleveland: 1
Baltimore: 1
Las Vegas: 1
Indianapolis: 1
Pittsburgh: 1
New York Jets: 1
Buffalo: 1
Los Angeles Chargers: 1
Seattle: 1
Houston: 1
Arizona: 1
Detroit: 1
Kansas City: 1

Overall By Position:
Running Back: 22
Wide Receiver: 22
Tight End: 2
Quarterback: 2

Overall By NFL Team:
Cincinnati: 3
Los Angeles Chargers: 3
Minnesota: 2
Tampa Bay: 2
Los Angeles Rams: 2
Miami: 2
Carolina: 2
Indianapolis: 2
Pittsburgh: 2
Las Vegas: 2
Buffalo: 2
Detroit: 2
Dallas: 2
Arizona: 2
Baltimore: 2
Kansas City: 2
Washington: 2
Tennessee: 1
San Francisco: 1
New Orleans: 1
Denver: 1
Green Bay: 1
Chicago: 1
New York Giants: 1
Philadelphia: 1
Cleveland: 1
New York Jets: 1
Seattle: 1
Houston: 1

Round four of the draft of Fantasy Football as ESPN Intended will roughly take about two days to complete so make sure to check back in for more content. Artwork was illustrated by Althea Charlie. Quarterbacks are starting to go with Tight End's, the player grab continues!